Most countries of Western Europe used various types of austerity programs aimed at reducing the budget deficit in order to get out of economic trouble. Professor Alberto Alesina, an economist from Harvard University, examined which of these measures worked best.
The lower inflow of foreign investments decreased the foreign value added in Polish exports. Given the nature of Poland's surplus in trade in services this trend may continue in the coming years and the share of domestic value added will grow.
According to the report of the European Commission's Ageing Working Group, the ratio of pension expenditures in relation to GDP in Poland will not change significantly between 2016 and 2050. However, the pension replacement rates will dramatically decrease.
The decrease of FDIs in the countries of the Central and Southeast Europe was accompanied by a recovery in the so-called greenfield investment. FDI inflow may increase but it will not return to the levels recorded before the global financial crisis.
Economists from the Warsaw School of Economics warn that the economic recovery after the last recession in the Central and Southeast Europe (CSE) had already lasted 20 quarters, and that the important leading indicators had gone down.
There are many indications that the period of fast growth of the Polish economy is already behind us. Simple growth reserves have been exhausted and high-tech production in has not been developed to a significant extent.